Seasolyze

Seasonal Evaluation for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)

The following tables show quarterly and semi-annual reports.

In the quarterly breakdown, the first through fourth quarters correspond to spring, summer, fall, and winter, respectively.
Detailed definitions for the semi-annual periods are provided in the table headers.

Quarterly Seasonality for
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)
Overview 1st Quarter
Jan. - Mar.
2nd Quarter
Apr. - Jun.
3rd Quarter
Jul. - Sep.
4th Quarter
Oct. - Dec.
Success Rate 68.75% 75.00% 87.50% 62.50%
Median Return 0.14% 0.21% 0.22% 0.09%
Average Return 0.38% 0.42% 0.29% 0.31%
Maximum Gain 2.82% 1.46% 2.87% 2.58%
Gain Year 2020 2019 2024 2023
Maximum Loss -2.53% -0.64% -1.54% -0.54%
Loss Year 2022 2023 2022 2021
Based on the past 16 years (2010-2025)

Half-Year Seasonality for
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)
Overview Winter Season
Oct. - Mar.
Summer Season
Apr. - Sep.
First HY
Jan. - Jun.
Second HY
Jul. - Dec.
Success Rate 65.63% 81.25% 71.88% 75.00%
Median Return 0.09% 0.21% 0.21% 0.16%
Average Return 0.35% 0.35% 0.40% 0.30%
Maximum Gain 2.82% 2.87% 2.82% 2.87%
Gain Year 2020 2024 2020 2024
Maximum Loss -2.53% -1.54% -2.53% -1.54%
Loss Year 2022 2022 2022 2022
Based on the past 16 years (2010-2025)