Seasonal Analysis for Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH)
The following two tables show the seasonal performance of Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF, with the stock symbol VGSH. The first table is a quarterly analysis. The second table is a semi-annual analysis that shows not only the two half-years but also the performance of the summer and winter half-years.
| Overview | 1st Quarter Jan. - Mar. |
2nd Quarter Apr. - Jun. |
3rd Quarter Jul. - Sep. |
4th Quarter Oct. - Dec. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 68.75% | 75.00% | 87.50% | 62.50% |
| Median Return | 0.14% | 0.21% | 0.22% | 0.09% |
| Average Return | 0.38% | 0.42% | 0.29% | 0.31% |
| Maximum Gain | 2.82% | 1.46% | 2.87% | 2.58% |
| Gain Year | 2020 | 2019 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Maximum Loss | -2.53% | -0.64% | -1.54% | -0.54% |
| Loss Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Based on the past 16 years (2010-2025) | ||||
| Overview | Winter Season Oct. - Mar. |
Summer Season Apr. - Sep. |
First HY Jan. - Jun. |
Second HY Jul. - Dec. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 65.63% | 81.25% | 71.88% | 75.00% |
| Median Return | 0.09% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 0.16% |
| Average Return | 0.35% | 0.35% | 0.40% | 0.30% |
| Maximum Gain | 2.82% | 2.87% | 2.82% | 2.87% |
| Gain Year | 2020 | 2024 | 2020 | 2024 |
| Maximum Loss | -2.53% | -1.54% | -2.53% | -1.54% |
| Loss Year | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Based on the past 16 years (2010-2025) | ||||