Seasonal Analysis for iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT)
The following two tables show the seasonal performance of iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF, with the stock symbol GOVT. The first table is a quarterly analysis. The second table is a semi-annual analysis that shows not only the two half-years but also the performance of the summer and winter half-years.
| Overview | 1st Quarter Jan. - Mar. |
2nd Quarter Apr. - Jun. |
3rd Quarter Jul. - Sep. |
4th Quarter Oct. - Dec. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 69.23% | 64.29% | 64.29% | 42.86% |
| Median Return | 0.70% | 0.59% | 0.24% | -0.16% |
| Average Return | 1.31% | 1.13% | 0.68% | 1.40% |
| Maximum Gain | 8.29% | 2.85% | 4.74% | 5.57% |
| Gain Year | 2020 | 2019 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Maximum Loss | -6.47% | -3.75% | -4.35% | -4.00% |
| Loss Year | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 | 2016 |
| Based on the past 13 years (2013-2025) | ||||
| Overview | Winter Season Oct. - Mar. |
Summer Season Apr. - Sep. |
First HY Jan. - Jun. |
Second HY Jul. - Dec. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 55.56% | 64.29% | 66.67% | 53.57% |
| Median Return | 0.58% | 0.32% | 0.70% | 0.12% |
| Average Return | 1.35% | 0.88% | 1.22% | 0.91% |
| Maximum Gain | 8.29% | 4.74% | 8.29% | 5.57% |
| Gain Year | 2020 | 2024 | 2020 | 2023 |
| Maximum Loss | -6.47% | -4.35% | -6.47% | -4.35% |
| Loss Year | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Based on the past 13 years (2013-2025) | ||||