Seasolyze

Seasonal Analysis for VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

The following two tables show the seasonal performance of VanEck Gold Miners ETF, with the stock symbol GDX. The first table is a quarterly analysis. The second table is a semi-annual analysis that shows not only the two half-years but also the performance of the summer and winter half-years.

Quarterly Seasonality for
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
Overview 1st Quarter
Jan. - Mar.
2nd Quarter
Apr. - Jun.
3rd Quarter
Jul. - Sep.
4th Quarter
Oct. - Dec.
Success Rate 52.63% 57.89% 55.00% 60.00%
Median Return 1.97% 1.87% 1.63% 2.15%
Average Return 10.69% 8.66% 8.36% 7.07%
Maximum Gain 45.56% 59.21% 46.75% 20.87%
Gain Year 2016 2020 2025 2022
Maximum Loss -21.31% -35.30% -29.86% -20.62%
Loss Year 2020 2013 2008 2016
Based on the past 19 years (2007-2025)

Half-Year Seasonality for
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
Overview Winter Season
Oct. - Mar.
Summer Season
Apr. - Sep.
First HY
Jan. - Jun.
Second HY
Jul. - Dec.
Success Rate 56.41% 56.41% 55.26% 57.50%
Median Return 2.02% 1.87% 1.92% 2.09%
Average Return 8.54% 8.51% 9.58% 7.66%
Maximum Gain 45.56% 59.21% 59.21% 46.75%
Gain Year 2016 2020 2020 2025
Maximum Loss -21.31% -35.30% -35.30% -29.86%
Loss Year 2020 2013 2013 2008
Based on the past 19 years (2007-2025)