Seasonal Analysis for Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)
The following two tables show the seasonal performance of Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF, with the stock symbol BND. The first table is a quarterly analysis. The second table is a semi-annual analysis that shows not only the two half-years but also the performance of the summer and winter half-years.
| Overview | 1st Quarter Jan. - Mar. |
2nd Quarter Apr. - Jun. |
3rd Quarter Jul. - Sep. |
4th Quarter Oct. - Dec. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 66.67% | 66.67% | 84.21% | 63.16% |
| Median Return | 1.08% | 1.67% | 0.79% | 0.41% |
| Average Return | 1.36% | 1.74% | 1.08% | 1.15% |
| Maximum Gain | 3.25% | 4.14% | 5.21% | 6.61% |
| Gain Year | 2023 | 2020 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Maximum Loss | -5.84% | -4.78% | -4.65% | -3.17% |
| Loss Year | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 | 2016 |
| Based on the past 18 years (2008-2025) | ||||
| Overview | Winter Season Oct. - Mar. |
Summer Season Apr. - Sep. |
First HY Jan. - Jun. |
Second HY Jul. - Dec. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Success Rate | 64.86% | 75.68% | 66.67% | 73.68% |
| Median Return | 0.77% | 1.45% | 1.48% | 0.71% |
| Average Return | 1.25% | 1.32% | 1.53% | 1.11% |
| Maximum Gain | 6.61% | 5.21% | 4.14% | 6.61% |
| Gain Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2020 | 2023 |
| Maximum Loss | -5.84% | -4.78% | -5.84% | -4.65% |
| Loss Year | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Based on the past 18 years (2008-2025) | ||||